Global 5G subscriptions are still on track to reach more than one billion by the end of this year, and five billion by the end of 2028, despite the current and evolving economic challenges in many parts of the world. The November 2022 edition of the Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC) Mobility Report also projected global fixed wireless access (FWA) connections to grow faster than previously expected.
FWA – Wireless Alternative to Home and Business Wireless Broadband – is one of the major early 5G use cases, particularly in areas with underserved or underserved broadband markets.
Driven in part by FWA’s accelerating plans in India, and projected growth in other emerging markets, FWA is expected to grow 19 percent year-on-year through 2022-28, and reach 300 million connections by the end of 2028.
More than three-quarters of the Communications Service Providers (CSPs) surveyed in more than 100 countries currently offer FWA services. Nearly a third of telecom service providers offer FWA technology over 5G, up from a fifth a year ago. Nearly 40 percent of new 5G FWA launches in the past 12 months were in emerging markets
In 5G itself, about 110 million subscriptions were added globally between July and September 2022, bringing the total to about 870 million. As predicted in previous reports, 5G is still expected to reach 1 billion subscriptions by the end of this year – two years faster than 4G after its launch.
Statistics reinforce the 5G network as the fastest generation of mobile networks. Key drivers include the timely availability of devices from multiple vendors, with prices falling faster than 4G, and early large 5G deployments in China.
North America and Northeast Asia continue to experience strong 5G growth, with 5G subscription penetration in the regions expected to reach around 35 percent by the end of 2022.
Globally, nearly 230 telecom service providers have launched 5G services to date, with more than 700 5G smartphone models announced or commercially launched.
By the end of 2028, the number of 5G subscriptions is expected to reach 5 billion globally, accounting for 55 percent of all subscriptions. In the same time frame, 5G population coverage is expected to reach 85 percent while 5G networks are expected to carry about 70 percent of mobile traffic and account for all contemporary traffic growth.
“Communication service providers continue to roll out 5G networks and fixed wireless access momentum is accelerating,” says Fredrik Jegdling, Executive Vice President and Head of Networks at Ericsson. “Moreover, global mobile network data traffic practically doubles every two years. As shown in this edition of the report From Ericsson Mobility, service providers are taking action to deploy the latest generation of energy-efficient radio hardware and software, increase the use of renewable energy sources, and operate site infrastructure intelligently to reduce environmental impact.”
Global 4G subscription numbers also continue to rise, growing by nearly 41 million between July and September 2022. Global 4G subscriptions are expected to peak at around 5.2 billion by the end of this year.
Total mobile phone subscriptions are expected to reach 8.4 billion by the end of 2022, and 9.2 billion by the end of 2028. Most of the subscriptions are associated with smartphones. At the end of 2022, there were an estimated 6.6 billion smartphone subscriptions, which is about 79 percent of all mobile subscriptions.
India forecastRapid deployments of 5G networks by Indian service providers will enable 5G subscriptions to reach around 31 million by the end of 2022 and 690 million by the end of 2028. 5G will account for about 53 percent of mobile subscriptions at the end of 2028. Next-generation subscriptions are expected The fourth to peak in 2024 at about 930 million, and then decline to an estimated 570 million by 2028.
Mobile networks continue to play a pivotal role in driving social and economic inclusion. States Nitin Bansal, President Ericsson India and Head of Network Solutions for Southeast Asia, Oceania and India, Ericsson, “5G will play a crucial role in achieving India’s digital inclusion goals especially for bringing broadband to rural and remote homes. Indeed, enhanced mobile broadband works As the basis of the government’s vision of ‘Digital India’ by enabling people to access public services.
Enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB) and Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) are expected to be early use cases for 5G in India that will help address concerns about limited fixed broadband penetration levels in the country and improve data experience while on the move.”
The average data traffic per smartphone in the India region is the highest globally. It’s expected to grow from 25GB per month in 2022 to about 54GB per month in 2028 — a compound annual growth rate of 14 percent. Total mobile data traffic in the India region is expected to grow from 18 EB per month in 2022 to 53 EB per month in 2028, at a compound annual growth rate of 19 percent. This is due to the high growth in the number of smartphone users and the increase in the average usage per smartphone. Smartphone subscriptions in India as a percentage of total mobile subscriptions are expected to grow from 77 percent in 2022 to 94 percent in 2028.
The Ericsson Mobility Report also highlights the importance of reducing environmental impact. The telecommunications sector plays a major role in achieving global sustainability goals, both by reducing its emissions and through its ability to reduce carbon emissions across other industries.
To reduce environmental impact, increased data traffic must be managed through smart grid modernization along with a balanced approach to network performance.
The Ericsson Mobility Report for November 2022 includes three in-depth articles:
- Network Refresh – While searching for Net Zero
- Cooperation and Collaboration: Building the Next Generation Network for Public Safety in Finland
- Digitization enables organizations to reach Net Zero
Read the full Ericsson Mobility Report for November 2022.
Mobility report site from Ericsson
Fixed wireless access Ericsson 4G and 5G
break the energy curve
5G The Next Wave – What Consumers Want
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